July 2026 Trading Review: EURUSD Swing Trading Summary

Monthly Overview

In July, a total of 15 EURUSD trades were executed, with 9 profitable and 6 losing, resulting in a 60% win rate. Total profit: +186 pips, with an average profit/loss ratio of 1:1.8. Overall performance this month was good, but two losing trades incurred larger losses due to failure to adhere to stop-loss discipline.

Common Characteristics of Profitable Trades

Entered trades in the direction of the daily trend (only going long in an uptrend on the daily chart)

Waited for price to pull back to support levels before entering, avoiding entries in the middle of the range

Confirmed MACD golden cross and RSI not overbought before entry

Analysis of Issues in Losing Trades

Two losing trades were counter-trend (attempting to short pullbacks in a daily uptrend)

One trade was not closed before the Non-Farm Payroll release, leading to excessive volatility and triggering the stop-loss

All had a "stop-loss movement" issue: moving the stop-loss too early after profit, resulting in being stopped out by normal pullbacks

Improvement Plan for Next Month

Strictly follow the trend direction for trading, abandoning counter-trend pullback attempts

Close or reduce positions 1 hour before major data releases

Only move stop-loss in the direction of profit, never manually widen it

Limit to no more than 2 trades per day to reduce overtrading

📓

Reviewing trades is not just about profits and losses, but more importantly identifying the "patterns" behind losses. The biggest lesson from July: counter-trend trading is a behavior with low probability of profit and high probability of loss.